This is a hands on interactive learning event focused on Impact-based forecasts and Forecast-based financing. 

Session objectives

The main objective of this session is to create a space for sharing learning, exchanging experiences and building partnerships around impact-based forecasting and anticipatory action. Hydro-meteorological agencies have developed considerable expertise and capacity in providing hydrometeorological forecast and warning services. Complementing these efforts, other organizations are incorporating concepts of vulnerability and exposure which can be used to develop impact-based forecasts that can trigger early or anticipatory action by disaster managers, humanitarian actors and communities at-risk. Over the past 8 years the humanitarian community (Red Cross Red Crescent, UN agencies, NGOs) has gained extensive experience implementing Forecast-based Financing/anticipatory action programmes, alongside government agencies and scientific partners. Such experiences demonstrate the value of investing resources in the development of partnerships with defined roles, responsibilities, and accountability structures to co-develop frameworks that enable early action by communities at risk. 

The session will highlight national-level impact-based forecasting and anticipatory action journeys through the lens of practitioners and government representatives. Experiences will be shared on multi-stakeholder collaboration, partnership building and co-creation, for example, joint trigger development, data sharing agreements, simulation exercises and training. An interactive discussion will follow to collect wider experiences of participants and facilitate exchange around specific challenges or needs.  

Participants will then be asked to share their needs for continued knowledge exchange, learning and guidance around enabling impact-based forecasting and anticipatory action to generate an initial Action Plan for the Anticipation Hub and supporting partners.  

Expected Outcomes

• Collect experiences and lessons on what worked well and not so well along different practitioner and government journeys towards impact-based forecasting and anticipatory action. 

• Facilitate connections and inspire new partnerships to advance impact-based forecasting and anticipatory action at country and regional level.  

• Collect a wishlist on how the Anticipation Hub, WMO, and other partners can facilitate continued exchange around impact-based forecasting and anticipatory action to meet the needs of hydro-met and government actors.  

Agenda

• Welcome and Introductions - What is Anticipatory Action and Impact Based Forecasting? Where are the synergies? 
• Part 1: Journeys on Impact Based Forecasting and Anticipatory Action from Africa - Uganda and Burkina Faso 
• Part 2: Journeys on Impact Based Forecasting and Anticipatory Action in Asia - Nepal and Bangladeesh
• World Cafe group discussion
  • Discussion question: What can you learn from this case study to apply in your content? Do you expect similar challenges/ opportunities? Have you similar/ different experiences of FBF / IBF in the region? 
  • Discussion question: What is needed (training, knowledge sharing, advocacy) to speed up your IBF / AA journey? 
• Plenary discussion and Feedback
• Next Steps and Action Plan
• Wrap up

This presentation discusses a Vulnerability Index that gesticulates a common approach at the global level while supporting regional and country-level vulnerability efforts by governments and the UN. To date there is a UNDP Multidimensional Vulnerability Index developed for Small Island States. It offers guidance for discussion which could inform other UN regions—perhaps aiding in the development of regional Vulnerability Indexes. A regional approach would recognise the different levels of development and the geographical challenges of those countries. From there, a Global Vulnerability Index could be aggregated from common elements within the regional Indexes.

Some of the questions highlighted in this presentation are: What would be the dimensions of vulnerability that should be considered? How can a process ensure that all the vulnerable groups are included in developing such Indexes? What data sources do we have? What ones might we need? How can benchmarking help countries to share their approaches and learn from each other? How can this help identify policies and approaches that can build resilience in communities and in vulnerable groups?

Embedding child-centred DRR (CCDRR) into local governance is imperative to prevent the loss of life and mitigate adverse social impacts of hazards on vulnerable children, their families and communities.

Since 2013, UNICEF Philippines has been supporting local government to incorporate child perspectives into local DRR plans. The outcome is an increased institutionalization of child and youth participation in DRM processes to enable their meaningful and increased role in civic engagement in addressing community disaster and climate risks.

This talk will highlight a CCDRR project in Mapanas, Northern Samar, Philippines, and what was learned from working closely with the children and youth organization (Kabataan, Kabubwason, Kauswagan translated as the youth is our bright future and progress), Local Government Units (particularly the DRM Councils at the provincial and municipal levels) to build their CCDRR capacities in planning and polices across sectors. It will highlight the process of building the capacity of children and youth organizations, their contributions in CCDRR, specifically on conducting 3D hazard mapping exercises and community education, and how they are engaging their local government units.

This session will highlight concrete examples of adolescent girls' and youth's adaptive capacity to disaster risk, changing climate and the COVID-19 pandemic in Asia, zooming in on the experience in Indonesia, Myanmar, Timor- Leste, Thailand, Philippines, Bangladesh and Nepal in the implementation of Child-Centred and Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR), Climate Change Adaptation (CCA) and COVID-19 response.

This presentation explains the concept and benefits of a disaster preparedness plan. Caritas Indonesia and Caritas Bogor promoted this planning in order to raise the DRR awareness of 700 families in the Sumur District of Pandeglang, Banten. These areas were affected by a tsunami that was caused by volcanic flank failures of Mount Anak Krakatau. This presentation will highlight how the families who participated in the disaster preparedness planning were able to evacuate themselves and also warn their neighbours.

This presentation will demonstrate the good practices for the inclusion of refugees into national and local level DM systems. It will share the experiences and learnings gained from the engagement with refugees on reducing risks and building resilience through the replication and adaptation of the national level DM and Early Warning systems. It will portray the local leadership of the refugee community, host communities, local government and civil society agencies that worked in a collective manner to understand the inter-connected disaster risks and the needs to a whole-of-society approach rather than through a fragmented manner.

Speakers from the Bangladesh Red Cross Society will share their role where they have been able to act as a convenor to this process and bring various stakeholders to the discussion table. Speakers from the Government of Bangladesh will present the various DM policy and programmatic changes to incorporate refugees and their contribution.

U-INSPIRE Indonesia is a platform for youth, young scientists, and young professionals working in the fields of Science, Engineering, Technology, and Innovation (SETI) to support disaster risk reduction and build resilience in line with the SDGs and SFDRR. U-INSPIRE was formed as a platform for youth and young professionals (YYPs) in Indonesia who come from different disciplines but share the same vision of building resilience through SETI. Share in the story of how the spirit of YYPs in Indonesia through U-INSPIRE Indonesia has contributed to building resilience and influenced YYPs in other countries in the Asia Pacific and Africa to take action!

This presentation shares lessons learned from a cross-border disaster-displacement simulation exercise held at the end of March 2022 between Colombia and Ecuador. This government-led, multi-stakeholder exercise simulates the displacement of a number of persons in a border area. The aim is to develop and test Standard Operating Procedures that assign roles and responsibilities to responders from National Disaster Management Offices (NDMOs), Migration Authorities, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Local Authorities, Civil Protection, the Red Cross, civil society and others to improve preparedness, emergency procedures, contingency plans and response mechanisms in the event of a disaster. This case study builds on the methodology developed in a similar exercise on the Panama-Costa Rica border in 2017. It can serve as a model for other countries across the world wishing to explore cooperation and to set up mechanisms to deal effectively with cross-border displacement in the context of disasters.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, it became necessary to explore new approaches for effective education on disaster safety. In particular, children in special schools for the disabled and schools in the remote island areas often have limited opportunities. They are among the most vulnerable and are often left behind from traditional disaster safety education. Online disaster education and digital-based methods such as online games, quizzes or spaces such as metaverse are effective. Offline, adapting materials to learners’ special needs are also critical.

This presentation shares the experience the Korean School Safety Programme becoming more inclusive. Join this interactive session to learn through play and practice. It features an online quiz, a demonstration of adapted games, and the potential use of the metaverse experience.

Young people have the most to lose from the climate and nature emergency - and the most to gain if they understand and grasp the opportunities for action to address environmental degradation. In a world where more than three billion people have a smartphone, Earthbeat inspires and connects a growing global community of young smartphone film makers. Earthbeat Challenge provides a platform for young people to share their local actions and solutions - and it helps connect them with key opportunities, processes and social movements to help them shape a better future for themselves and the planet.

From launch in August 2021, Earthbeat Challenge has rapidly established itself as a vibrant digital project with a global reach, which can give a wider voice, recognition and inspiration to young people who are working to address the nature and climate crises at the grassroots. Earthbeat Challenge is currently partnering with UNDRR to commission grassroots videos on community action on disaster resilience.